Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.106194 0.132089 0.160489 0.193650 0.231015 0.271541 0.318543
2025-03-23 0.073262 0.107001 0.147619 0.198863 0.260576 0.331383 0.417650
2025-03-30 0.047763 0.083465 0.130892 0.195366 0.277787 0.376959 0.502662
2025-04-06 0.031362 0.066691 0.118611 0.194326 0.296331 0.424034 0.591116
2025-04-13 0.021491 0.056020 0.111986 0.198868 0.321188 0.479285 0.691295
2025-04-20 0.015007 0.048403 0.107953 0.205755 0.348736 0.538458 0.797966
2025-04-27 0.010231 0.041804 0.103908 0.211535 0.374366 0.595500 0.903182
2025-05-04 0.006124 0.034144 0.096132 0.210125 0.388932 0.637590 0.989539
2025-05-11 0.003828 0.029402 0.092468 0.214460 0.411537 0.690805 1.091378
2025-05-18 0.001965 0.023843 0.085626 0.212290 0.423662 0.729296 1.173889
2025-05-25 0.000623 0.017229 0.074229 0.200262 0.419177 0.743469 1.223056
2025-06-01 0.000222 0.014365 0.070719 0.202022 0.436206 0.788556 1.315105
2025-06-08 0.000020 0.010661 0.063602 0.196080 0.440641 0.815951 1.384190
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.009874 0.064814 0.207004 0.473643 0.886458 1.515093
2025-06-22 NaN 0.007807 0.060948 0.206760 0.487483 0.928478 1.606380
2025-06-29 NaN 0.006216 0.057855 0.207661 0.503120 0.973383 1.702355
2025-07-06 NaN 0.005337 0.057085 0.213594 0.527713 1.032368 1.819290
2025-07-13 NaN 0.004737 0.057212 0.221527 0.556037 1.097494 1.945798
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004101 0.056781 0.228023 0.581884 1.159151 2.067978
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003068 0.053381 0.226795 0.593379 1.198439 2.157955
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002539 0.052419 0.231502 0.615938 1.255429 2.274426
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001790 0.048992 0.229308 0.625266 1.291436 2.360318
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000903 0.042173 0.216700 0.613789 1.293572 2.395793